Dividend investing is for people seeking income from their investments, who are also willing to take on a little more market risk than bonds offer in order to try to achieve growth in both their principal and the dividend income provided by their dividend stocks, not just by chasing the highest dividend stocks. A successful dividend investor knows that this strategy can help them stay ahead of inflation.
One of the first steps in dividend investing is identifying companies that are in a position to not only maintain the dividend that they are paying out to their dividend investor base, but can also as a dividend growth stock opportunity. A good way to determine if a stock fits this criteria is to look at it’s dividend payout ratio.
Dividend Payout Ratio
The dividend payout ratio can be calculated in a number of ways, so we’ll look at two of them and let you decide which one to use for your dividend investing screens (my favorite dividend payout ratio calculation is the second one).
The most popular way is calculated by dividing the annual dividend a company pays out per share by it’s annual earnings per share.
Dividend Payout Ratio = Annual Dividend Per Share / Annual Earnings Per Share
These numbers are readily available at most popular financial web sites, and can be included in dividend investing screens at sites like MSN Money. Using this version of dividend payout ratio calculation, a level of 50% or lower is considered good. So, this calculation is pretty easy, and the data is readily available, but for good dividend investing principals, it has a flaw…
The problem with the above calculation is that EPS has some noise embedded in it that can mis-lead a dividend investor into buying a company that is not a dividend growth stock candidate. In my view, good dividend investing stocks’ dividends need to be paid out of the ongoing cash operating profits a company generates, and due to GAAP accounting rules, EPS contains more than this. For dividend investing, it is better to use annual free cash flow (FCF) instead of EPS in the dividend payout ratio calculation.
Since free cash flow takes into account both expenses and capital outlays, it shows how much cash is left over from company operations to apply to dividend payouts. With the inherent noise in EPS taken out of the dividend payout ratio calculation, a level of 60% – 65% or lower can be considered good for dividend investing (obviously lower is better in either method of calculating dividend payout ratio).
Earnings yield can help value stocks investors in their quest to find good solid companies that are currently relatively cheap. Using indicators like return on invested capital (learn how to calculate ROIC), can be helpful in finding a list solid companies, and once you’ve identified this list, earnings yield can help you determine if the company is cheap enough to buy right now, after all, that is what value stock investing is all about. Earnings yield does this by dividing a company’s annual earnings per share (you can use a trailing 4 quarters view of EPS for this if you’d like) by the company’s current market price per share. This number is expressed as a percentage, which makes it easy to compare with bond yields.
How to Calculate Earnings Yield
There are a couple of ways to calculate earnings yield. Since you don’t find this number in a lot of free online stock screeners, I’ll cover both methods, and you can decide which one you want to use.
The first way to calculate earnings yield is to take the inverse (1/x) of the P/E ratio. Since P/E ratios can be found in most financial publications, web sites, and stock screening tools, it is very easy to find this number, and invert it on a calculator or in a spreadsheet, to give you the earnings yield. This method is very simple to use, and gives you a quick view of how cheap (or expensive) a stock is.
The other way to calculate earnings yield is a little more involved, but gives you a better understanding of how a company is valued relative to it’s earnings. This form of earnings yield was written about by Joel Greenblatt in his book, “The Little Book That Beats the Market”. The earnings yield he created is useful in comparing companies with different tax rates and levels of debt. Greenblatt’s earnings yield formula is:
Earnings yield = pre-tax operating profit (EBIT) / Enterprise Value
So, in this case, the numerator (EBIT) comes from the income statement, and the denominator (Enterprise Value) is calculated by adding the market value of all equity – both common and preferred – to the value of all interest bearing debt that the company owes. The value of equity is just the shares outstanding multiplied by the price of the stock, and interest bearing debt can be found on the company’s balance sheet.
I like Greenblatt’s method of calculating earnings yield better than the more popular E/P method, since it gives a more accurate view of what is happening inside of a company, and also gives a more balanced view when comparing multiple companies to each other.